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Stats professor says Penguins overpaid for Scuderi

Aug 18, 2013, 3:54 PM EST

Rob Scuderi Getty Images

When the Pittsburgh Penguins signed Rob Scuderi as a free agent this summer, fans loved lauded it saying it was a mistake he was let go four years ago. GM Ray Shero even said as much.

Did they get back on the bandwagon too late though? A statistics professor from St. Lawrence University thinks so.

Fluto Shinzawa of the Boston Globe spoke with Michael Shuckers and he says Scuderi’s underlying statistics say he wasn’t worth the four-year, $13.5 million price tag.

“That’s the one that sticks out to me this year,” Schuckers said. “Pittsburgh is supposed to be a team that’s fairly analytic. All the analytics I’ve seen suggest he’s well past his prime.”

The analytics he’s talking about is the Corsi rating. Scuderi’s wasn’t bad, but it wasn’t $3 million-plus per year good either. Scuderi turns 38 when the deal ends. In other words, the Pens may have paid up big for a guy heading into his declining years.

We’ve seen many defensemen play deep into their 30s and some into their 40s and maintain a top level of play. Scuderi could turn out that way. Maybe.

Considering Pittsburgh’s defensive issues last season, however, they’ll want Scuderi to just play defense and let guys like Kris Letang and Paul Martin worry about generating goals.

  1. jkulha86 - Aug 18, 2013 at 4:07 PM

    The Pens signing Scuderi was about defensive ability and leadership, which is something that this team severely lacked in the playoffs. If he score a a few goals, that’s just an added bonus.

  2. Stiller43 - Aug 18, 2013 at 4:47 PM

    He’s the piece…idc what we paid for him

  3. Lupy Nazty Philthy - Aug 18, 2013 at 4:52 PM

    He’s not even making 3.5M. What a non-issue for a guy with that much experience. These statistics they come up with lately are ridiculous. Corsi is nowhere near as dumb as the “luck” one, but it’s on par with +/- for being a pointless stat to make any important team decisions from.

  4. killerpgh - Aug 18, 2013 at 5:04 PM

    If he was a offensive d-man who relied of his skating than it might be an issue. But since positioning/angling are his strong points losing a step with age shouldn’t be that much of a concern.

  5. hockeyflow33 - Aug 18, 2013 at 6:00 PM

    Hockey isn’t a game of statistics. That’s what happens when you have garbage reporters like Fluto reporting.

  6. sergeikremlin - Aug 18, 2013 at 6:51 PM

    stats professor should talk to accounting colleague and find out what a premium is. Welcome to free agency 101

  7. pitpenguinsrulez - Aug 18, 2013 at 6:54 PM

    The only statistic he should be worrying about is the number of students passing his class instead.

  8. laxman1944 - Aug 18, 2013 at 8:38 PM

    Thought was a great signing too………..But………just sayin.

  9. kingsforever - Aug 19, 2013 at 8:32 AM

    I could tell he was done back in 2012. Have fun with the contract Pittsburgh.

  10. bc - Aug 19, 2013 at 8:34 AM

    Corsi stats prove the maxim that a little bit of (hockey) knowledge is dangerous. For the most part Corsi is used by people who don’t get it.

  11. jaybaileys - Aug 19, 2013 at 9:38 AM

    NO more than Gonchar, Streit, Briere. Who cares what some dork professor says, how many Stanley Cup teams has he built?

  12. btlpper68 - Aug 19, 2013 at 12:20 PM

    What does a stats professor know bout hockey

  13. pirovash88 - Aug 19, 2013 at 4:11 PM

    We should’ve paid em more to stay in L.A. Scuderi is worth every penny and i wouldn’t doubt it if the Pens take another Cup because of this guy.

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