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Here are your trade and free agency odds

Jun 27, 2013, 12:15 PM EDT

Bryan Bickell Getty Images

The offseason is upon us and it’s time to figure out where everyone is headed. Of course, free agency doesn’t start until July 5 and trades could happen at any moment. So how about some odds?

Online oddsmakers Bovada.lv have some numbers to help you spend your entertainment dollars on guessing who is playing where next season. Let’s dive in, shall we?

Of course, the first question surrounds Roberto Luongo‘s future. Deja vu, eh?

Will the Vancouver Canucks trade Roberto Luongo prior to the start of the 2013-14 season?

Yes: 1/2

No: 3/2

And what about Ilya Bryzgalov?

Will Ilya Bryzgalov be a starting goalie for an NHL team in their first game of the 2013-14 season?

Yes: 2/1

No: 1/3

When it comes to Dion Phaneuf‘s future in Toronto, since they’re apparently open to dealing him, Bovada is blunt with the question.

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs trade Dion Phaneuf prior to the start of the 2013-14 season?

Yes: 3/2

No: 1/2

As for the free agents, they see a bit of a surprise destination for the recently bought out Danny Briere.

New Jersey Devils:  3/2

Ottawa Senators:  5/2

Montreal Canadiens: 9/2

Phoenix Coyotes:  5/1

Buffalo Sabres: 5/1

Those odds for him going back to Buffalo make for some great trolling money.  As for playoff hero Bryan Bickell, Bovada sees a very curious destination for him.

Detroit Red Wings: 1/1

Florida Panthers: 3/1

Vancouver Canucks: 13/4

Chicago Blackhawks: 7/2

No courtesy odds for the Sabres and Terry Pegula spending more crazy money? I feel like we got slighted. As for Jarome Iginla, the Penguins don’t have the shortest odds of the bunch here.

Los Angeles Kings: 11/4

Pittsburgh Penguins: 3/1

Dallas Stars: 9/2

St. Louis Blues: 5/1

San Jose Sharks: 15/2

Anaheim Ducks: 8/1

Colorado Avalanche: 8/1

As always, these odds are just for fun or setting the bar for taking money from your friends. Curious to see how they think some things play out, however.

  1. jakreidler - Jun 27, 2013 at 12:29 PM

    Bickell and Cleary on Babs’ 3rd line would be priceless.

    • hawksin5 - Jun 27, 2013 at 12:41 PM

      Hawks just used two buyouts to bring in an extra $5M to the already $2.5M cap space. Sorry, but Bickel stays a hawk.

      • 19to77 - Jun 27, 2013 at 3:22 PM

        They’re shopping Bolland too. That’s over $3m more if they move him. $10m cap space means they’ll retain basically everyone else and hopefully have the money to sign a solid #2C at last.

      • chanceoffleury1 - Jun 27, 2013 at 4:40 PM

        Cap space disappears quickly when you win a Cup, though. Lifting the Cup is symbolic of everyone’s price tag going up with it.

        I figure:

        Perry and Getzlaf are apparently worth $8+ million, Kane and Toews will want at least that. So you think about at least a $2 million dollar raise each is probably about what they’ll end up with. And Quick got a 5.8 million dollar deal when he won the Cup, so you figure Crawford will probably get something similar. That’s about a $3 million dollar raise. Give or take, that’s around $7 million they’re gonna use on those 3 after next summer. As a Pens fan, I know it’s nice to think your core and your stars will all take hometown discounts to stick around and sing kumbaya in the lockerroom, but they just don’t do that. This is still a business and these guys’ have agents, wives, kids, parents, etc that are all in on the deal and money, too. The buyouts certainly helped the Hawks situation, but the reality is that they are still really tight on cap space when you look past next summer. The Hawks need to do what’s best for the business and the growth of their franchise. They have a lot of guys on rookie contracts, or guys like Bickell signed for/around the league minimum but doing much more than performing at a league minimum level. I’m not saying they can’t do it and retain the major pieces of the team, but they’re gonna have to work some magic in convincing multiple guys they are worth less than they really are. Every single team that made it far is in the same exact boat as them, though. So the Hawks are certainly not alone.

      • tmarchione - Jun 27, 2013 at 5:04 PM

        I suspect Bickell will remain a Hawk, but, that would be there only signing of note.

        They do not have a backup goalie. An experienced backup in this league is 1.25 million at least (if they use Raanta from the minors, that’s $1.4mm in cap space). They also need to resign RFAs Kruger and Leddy, for which I suspect they combine for $2mm. If you subtract $3.25 from $7.5, you get $4.25. Bickell will get $4mm with his “hometown discount”. That leaves you with .25 remaining.

        If you can move Bolland (without taking on any other salary btw, which may be a tough nut to crack), you’ll only have $3.25mm left, which won’t be a enough for a #2C (especially since #3Cs are getting that much).

        Also, you have to find roster room. If you keep Bickell and Kruger, but lose Bolland, you still have 14 forwards (the max a team will carry). You’ll have to lose someone else to bring in another new body, without taking on any additional salary or bodies. Teams are just going to help out Chicago to do them a favor…

      • tmarchione - Jun 27, 2013 at 5:28 PM

        BTW: Leddy and Kruger made $2mm combined last year. So they’ll definitely get raises…

  2. bensawesomeness - Jun 27, 2013 at 1:35 PM

    Wings don’t have all that much cap space, especially if we wanna keep Brunner (yes, we do)
    I’d love to have him but i’m not going to give him the money he wants, ill save that for the Wings D-Core

    • tmarchione - Jun 27, 2013 at 2:44 PM

      The Wings have more than $10mm in cap space, and no room for players (If they move some people out will be the only way they have roster space). Even if they sign Brunner to a 3yr/$9mm deal, they still have $7mm in cap space.

      I suspect Detroit will buy out Sammy, saving almost $3mm this year. They have to sign Gun, Joakim, Smith, and Kindl, but those guys combine will probably make $5.3 total. They could make other moves to clear even more space.

      Detroit’s biggest problem is roster space, not cash.

      • bensawesomeness - Jun 27, 2013 at 4:33 PM

        I was reading capgeek.com’s statistics wrong, good call

        I don’t mind them buying out Sammy

        So, if you had the option, Bickell or Lecavalier?

      • tmarchione - Jun 27, 2013 at 4:47 PM

        Vinny by a mile. He would be Fils replacement. He’s a real centerman as well. If you are going to bring anyone onboard, he has to be a center. You could probably get him for 3yr, $4.5mm.

        Bickell is nice, but a LW. Also, I’d be a little afraid of giving someone $4.5+ for 5 years that has scored 90 points in his 3 year career (talking full time career, not cup of coffee years).

        In his worse years, Vinny is averaging over .75ppg. Bickell for his career is averaging a little better than .40.

    • clefty1 - Jun 27, 2013 at 4:06 PM

      The Wings have around 10 million under the cap and that is before they use their buyouts. The only UFA they have that I would want them to keep is Brunner. Don’t be surprised if the Wings trade TooToo and possibly Emmerton, not that they will get much in return for them, Fil is gone as well. I would not mind if the Wings made a pitch for Lecavalier seeing as Tampa is going to buy him out.

  3. spitfisher - Jun 27, 2013 at 8:44 PM

    Jerome will be in a flames jersey, again

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