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Bruins-Leafs most likely playoff matchup

Apr 8, 2013, 12:00 PM EDT

Andrew Ferrence, Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, James Reimer AP

The bright side for the Toronto Maple Leafs is they’re on the verge of making their first playoff appearance since 2004.

The potential dark side is there’s a good chance they’ll be facing a team that’s absolutely dominated them in the past couple of regular seasons.

According to Sports Club Stats, the Leafs and Bruins are the most likely first-round playoff match-up. Toronto has a 63 percent shot of finishing fifth in the Eastern Conference, while Boston is at 60 percent to finish fourth.

Granted, when you combine the two probabilities, there’s a better chance (62%) that the two teams don’t meet. But wouldn’t it be something if it happened?

The optimistic Leafs fan (if that’s something that still exists after all these years of playoff misses) will point out that Toronto finally beat Boston a couple of weeks ago, ending an eight-game losing streak against the 2011 Stanley Cup champs.

As for other potential first-round matchups, a Penguins-Islanders series is at around 20 percent while, in the West, there’s a decent chance (35%) the Blackhawks and Red Wings renew their historic rivalry.

  1. govtminion - Apr 8, 2013 at 12:26 PM

    I would LOVE to see B’s/Leafs. Granted, I’m a B’s fan, but just for the history involved and the ferocity the two teams show against each other, this would be a lot of fun. And who knows? The Leafs are pretty good at scoring goals- they could make this a lot more interesting than we might think at a glance. If Reimer does a good job, the Bruins do a disappearing act the way they did against the Capitals last year, and the Leafs come to play… anything can happen.

  2. 1943mrmojorisin1971 - Apr 8, 2013 at 12:35 PM

    Even the most optimistic Leafs fan wants nothing to do with the Bruins, but it would be an entertaining series. Every Leafs-Bruins game this year has been close.

    • withseidelinn - Apr 8, 2013 at 12:51 PM

      Yeah this is the matchup I would want to see LEAST, but like you said it would be entertaining. The most I would hope for in this situation is a great 7 games to watch.

  3. desertfan - Apr 8, 2013 at 12:59 PM

    Congrats to Burke for sticking to plan and taking this big step!!!!!!

  4. imleftcoast - Apr 8, 2013 at 1:28 PM

    Vancouver vs St Louis most probably according to that site, unless Vancouver tanks, and then would most likely play Minnesota. Cool site. There’s even re-alignment scenarios.

  5. jkay1818 - Apr 8, 2013 at 2:19 PM

    Things change day to day, if the rangers sweep toronto this week they will be tied (dont know who has the tiebreaker) i think it behooves most of these teams to shoot for a 6 seed. either play boston, mtl, pitt in round one or winni, caps or carolina.

  6. jl9830 - Apr 8, 2013 at 4:02 PM

    The Islanders have never lost a playoff series to the Penguins.

    • chanceoffleury1 - Apr 8, 2013 at 5:07 PM

      They also haven’t played the Pens in the playoffs, or even won a single playoff series against ANYONE for that matter, since the turn of century. Call me crazy, but I’ll take my chances and keep rooting for the Pens.

  7. livepredictor - Apr 8, 2013 at 4:27 PM

    Will be a good one!

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