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Blue Jackets, Oilers, Habs, Isles and Leafs have a shot at first pick

Apr 8, 2012, 4:26 PM EDT

yakupovgetty Getty Images

The vast majority of Saturday’s focus was on the playoffs, but to some fan bases, the biggest wins came in defeat. The 2012 NHL Entry Draft lottery takes place on Tuesday, so if you want a rundown of the rules, click here. The actual positioning has been determined since then, though, so take a look at the rundown via

Odds of winning the draft lottery (Note: I put teams in the running for the first pick in bold)
1 – Columbus – 25.0%
2 – Edmonton – 18.8%
3 – Montreal – 14.2%
4 – NY Islanders – 10.7%
5 – Toronto – 8.1%
6 – Anaheim – 6.2%
7 – Minnesota – 4.7%
8 – Carolina – 3.6%
9 – Winnipeg – 2.7%
10 – Tampa Bay – 2.1%
11 – Washington (via COL) – 1.5%
12 – Buffalo – 1.1%
13 – Dallas – 0.8%
14 – Calgary – 0.5%

NOTE: No team can move up more than four spots, or move down more than one.

One could argue the most interesting scenario might be if the Washington Capitals’ 11th pick (via Colorado in that Semyon Varlamov trade) jumps all the way to the seventh one. Another interesting possibility might come if the lowly Edmonton Oilers receive a third consecutive first overall pick, which is only slightly less than a one-in-five chance.

Here’s a goofy but fun question to chew on: which of the bottom five teams “deserves” the No. 1 pick the most in your mind? Should the sad sack Blue Jackets get the blue chip to start a post-Rick Nash era? Would it be cool to see the Oilers get a trio of unos? How about giving the new Montreal Canadiens GM a great stuff with a first pick, the Islanders another boost in their rebuild or even the Maple Leafs a chance to shake off the Tyler Seguin talk?

  1. bcisleman - Apr 8, 2012 at 5:29 PM

    Teams that are in it have the same wish: either they win it or Columbus. In the latter case, at least they do not slip a space. That happened to the Isles last year and, although it likely didnt change their pick, you could argue that they are due.

    Garth Snow has shown a propensity to spurn defensemen with his first pick as much as many think he needs an elite defenseman. He prefers to develop defense prospects such as Travis Hamonic, a late second rounder, Andrew MacDonald, a fifth rounder, and now Matt Donovan, a fourth rounder. Scott Mayfield, a second rounder, Andrei Pedan, a third rounder, Robbie Russo, a fourth rounder, and Brendan Kichton, a fifth rounder. Defensemen take time to develop. The Isles’ defense will develop from later picks.

    Yakupov and Grigorenko will be gone when the Isles pick unless they win the lottery. Their likely picks will be either Alex Galchenyuk or Filip Forsberg. The Isles have a bit of a glut of centers and power forwards. Galchenyuk, however, could be an elite second line center and drafting him would allow the Isles to add Ryan Strome to the first line with his buddies JT & Matt. It might also punch Kirill Petrov’s ticket to cross the pond.

  2. gbiscottagecheesefatties - Apr 8, 2012 at 7:28 PM

    I am so mad with my Wild finally finding their game again in the last week of the year. They were on pace to have the #2 or at worst #3… Now we are looking at Forsberg if he falls, Trouba, Reinhart

    Wild will be throwing huge money at Suter and Parise this summer, need to land one of them!!!

  3. iamanidiotfan - Apr 9, 2012 at 3:37 AM

    leafs, just for the entertainment value of watching people blow up if they win.

  4. miketoasty - Apr 9, 2012 at 9:25 AM

    I would like to see Columbus get the first pick then trade Nash for the 2nd or 3rd overall pick (If those teams are either Edmonton, Montreal, or Toronto; all of which teams should have much better records next year if they don’t falter (Montreal, Toronto) or their young talent starts to take charge (Edmonton)). Of course this is more of a Video Game scenario but it could make things very interesting come draft day if Columbus can get a couple early picks.

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