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Poll: Tell us if Steven Stamkos will score 60 goals

Mar 27, 2012, 9:07 PM EDT

Steven Stamkos broke a Tampa Bay Lightning team record with his 53rd goal of the season last night, but he obviously isn’t satisfied with that. Thanks to a beauty of a wrist shot goal that caught Tim Thomas off guard, Stamkos already hit the 54 tally mark with some time left to do more damage tonight.

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Update: Stamkos made the job much easier by scoring a second goal on Tuesday, making it 55 and thus needing five for 60. There are still a few minutes left, too, so this post will be updated if he gets a hat trick.

NBC Sports Network provided a great infographic of how his goals have broken down so far this season, which I’ll update with Stamkos’ second tally.

Total Goals: 55 (first in NHL)
Even strength: 43 (first in NHL)
Overtime: 4 (first in NHL)
GWG: 10 (tied for first)
Goals in third period: 17

Fun-killing stats nerds would argue that some of that is circumstantial – when you score 55, plenty are going to be during big moments – but the part that impresses me the most is the 43 even-strength tallies. That shows that he isn’t just milking easy power play opportunities.

Those numbers also make you wonder what he’d do with a better team around him (although the counterpoint might be that he wouldn’t feel the need to do as much, at least theoretically).

Stamkos’ schedule for 60

Anyway, enough about what he’s already done. Let’s look at what lies ahead for Stamkos in his quest for 60 goals – keep in mind he’ll need to score six more in six games plus tonight’s remaining time. For fun, I’ve included a) how many goals Stamkos has scored against a given opponent in 2011-12 and b) how many goals that team has allowed going into Tuesday’s games.

Thursday: at New Jersey (two goals in three games; 200 Goals Allowed)
Saturday: vs. Winnipeg (two goals in four games; 223 GA)
April 2: vs. Washington (three goals in five games; 214 GA)
April 4: at Montreal (two goals in three games; 211 GA)
April 5: at Toronto (one goal in three games; 239 GA)
April 7: at Winnipeg (two goals in four games; 223 GA)

As you can see, Stamkos has already scored at least once against the six remaining opponents. Four of the six final contests are against non-playoff teams, which could be good (if those teams are in low spirits) or bad (if those teams make stopping Stamkos their only real goal).

Asking for (almost) a goal-per-game is a tough task even for Stamkos – the NHL’s most prolific goal scorer during the last three seasons – but it’s not implausible looking at that reasonable schedule.

So with all that in mind, share your thoughts in the poll: can Stamkos reach 60 goals this season?

  1. sabatimus - Mar 27, 2012 at 10:53 PM

    Best part about this story is that Stamkos’ goal totally will mean NOTHING AT ALL–his team will still be out of the playoffs. I’m sure Stamkos himself would give back 30 of the goals to have a better overall team around him.

    • grudenthediva - Mar 27, 2012 at 11:25 PM

      Considering he’s been playing for a team who has iced a patchwork, AHL defense all year and a horrible goalie, all while knowing Stevie Y has a bevy of options in net this summer and has already made moves to refurbish the D, he’s likely not TOO upset. Sorry to have to piss in your Cheerios but this season is an aberration.

      Too bad.

      • sabatimus - Mar 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

        Good thing I didn’t eat Cheerios this morning, because my comment is still accurate.

  2. bruins33 - Mar 27, 2012 at 11:14 PM

    Stamkos could have had 4 goals tonight. He got robbed by both Thomas and the crossbar fairly late in the third. Pretty impressive if you ask me. Can’t believe he’s only 22

    • 1943mrmojorisin1971 - Mar 28, 2012 at 12:03 AM

      Don’t worry, he’ll probably get at least 4 when he comes to Toronto. The place will probably be cheering him louder than they’ll be cheering the Leafs.

    • sabatimus - Mar 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

      Know what hitting the crossbar means? Missing the net.

  3. rainyday56 - Mar 27, 2012 at 11:23 PM

    Ya, he’ll get 60, and not make the playoffs – further fueling the argument that scoring really doesn’t matter. Welcome back to the dead puck era . . .

    • 1943mrmojorisin1971 - Mar 28, 2012 at 12:01 AM

      Something about the ‘dead puck era’ and the idea we’re returning to it makes me shake my head. Maybe hockey wasn’t meant to be a high-scoring game night in night out and no amount of rule changes will ever change that.

  4. bergeronforselke - Mar 28, 2012 at 7:52 AM

    I don’t think he’ll do it…my guess

  5. govtminion - Mar 28, 2012 at 11:09 AM

    1) Yes, I think he may actually get there.

    2) Hard to believe this is the same kid that Barry Melrose thought wasn’t ready for the NHL-level game and didn’t want to use in games.

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