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PHT Oddsmaker: Let’s gamble on the NHL

Nov 16, 2011, 7:43 PM EDT

Brendan Shanahan Getty Images

PHT Oddsmaker will be a regular feature where we set pretend odds and pretend to gamble on them. If you’d like to bet real money, meet us in the alley and we’ll talk.

Longest suspension to be handed out during the 2011-12 regular season (Over/under 8.5 games)

In other words, will any player do something worse in the eyes of the NHL than James Wisniewski did to Cal Clutterbuck in the preseason? There have been six suspensions doled out since the regular season started, none for more than five games. I also can’t help but wonder, if Wisniewski hit Clutterbuck now instead of then, would he still get eight games? Clearly Brendan Shanahan wanted to let everyone know there was a new sheriff in town when he took over, and he certainly got everyone’s attention. It’s different now. The players know he’s not messing around. I’ll take the under here, though I hate the thought of underestimating the potential for certain hockey players to do really stupid stuff. Is Trevor Gillies in the NHL anymore?

Which player will finish with more points? Teemu Selanne (-110) versus Jaromir Jagr (-110)

Selanne has 15 points in 17 games; Jagr’s got 17 in 17. This should be a close race, but I’ll take Selanne. The Ducks are desperate for scoring and even more desperate for wins. They can’t afford to rest anyone who can put the puck in the net, even if he’s 41. On the other hand, I can see the Flyers being extra careful with Jagr, 39, as the 82-game season progresses. Remember, the KHL only plays a 56-game schedule, plus the playoffs. The most games Jagr’s played in the last three years is 64. The Flyers will want him fresh for April, and since they already score lots of goals, dialing back his ice-time shouldn’t be a problem.

Odds the Minnesota Wild make the playoffs (+175)

Heading into tonight’s action, Minnesota (10-5-3) was four points clear of a playoff spot in the Western Conference. It’s just hard to believe it can stay that way. Let’s break it down. Here are the teams I’m fairly confident will make the playoffs in the West: Chicago, Detroit, San Jose and Vancouver. After those four, it’d be unfair to count out Nashville and Phoenix considering what they’ve done the past few seasons. Tough to picture Los Angeles failing to qualify. St. Louis is a talented team that’s starting to roll with Ken Hitchcock behind the bench. That’s eight teams right there, and I haven’t even mentioned Dallas, though the Stars haven’t looked very good lately. Even at those odds, I’ll have to pass on the Wild.

  1. imleftcoast - Nov 16, 2011 at 8:25 PM

    Under, Jagr, Canucks are doomed.

    • danphipps01 - Nov 17, 2011 at 3:44 AM

      I love your choice of phrasing. I heartily concur.

  2. sknut - Nov 16, 2011 at 8:42 PM

    I would disagree with the WIld not making the playoffs, they are a deeper team and their best players haven’t played at a level that we are used to seeing them at. Of course multiple injuries could derail playoff hopes but that is true of any team. I think their start is for real and maybe they won’t win the NW but they should be in the playoffs.

    • greatminnesotasportsmind - Nov 16, 2011 at 11:31 PM

      They have done this without big production from their top line of Heatley, Setoguchi, and Koivu. They play in the weakest division in the northwest. It’s not like they have beaten bad teams either. They beat Detroit twice, Vancouver, Anaheim, and St.Louis. They already had the longest road trip of the year out of the way. The cloest team to them in the division is Edmonton, who they have owned over the past 5 years. I’m buying they are a playoff team.

  3. Brian - Nov 17, 2011 at 12:05 AM

    Consider that a suspension for leaving the bench to fight is an automatic ten games. I’d take the over on that one. Especially after Crosby comes back and with meatheads like macintyre and engelland on that team.

  4. cshearing - Nov 17, 2011 at 8:49 AM

    Over, Jagr, no playoffs for Minny.

  5. govtminion - Nov 17, 2011 at 10:39 AM

    I’m in, let’s play.

    1) No. Barring some serious bonehead play by someone- like, monumental- no one is breaking the eight-game mark again. It was an example from Shanahan, and not much else.

    2) Selanne. Not that Jagr will slump- he’s having a hell of a lot better of a year than I expected (nice since he ended up on my fantasy team via autodraft), but I’ll take the old Flash by a couple of points.

    3) Minnesota… yeah, I think they make it. Oddly, I think they make it as the Northwest champ. Calgary sucks, Colorado’s early start has faded to the expected poor play (thanks Varly), Edmonton is on the way up but probably not quite there yet, and Vancouver just looks plain bad lately. So… why not Minnesota to win the division? Now, can they get out of the first round… that’s another question.

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